Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.266427 0.313671 0.369843 0.442414 0.534962 0.650825 0.809766
2025-02-02 0.200928 0.259596 0.338913 0.457663 0.637873 0.913941 1.397877
2025-02-09 0.162599 0.224202 0.315575 0.468744 0.736941 1.229212 2.332395
2025-02-16 0.138774 0.201146 0.300644 0.483695 0.846859 1.637318 3.933217
2025-02-23 0.121007 0.182381 0.286138 0.492333 0.948511 2.113422 6.561610
2025-03-02 0.107124 0.166655 0.272225 0.496259 1.042368 2.665983 10.994536
2025-03-09 0.095526 0.152488 0.257559 0.493265 1.119010 3.264563 18.367471
2025-03-16 0.085336 0.139046 0.241312 0.481471 1.167174 3.841971 30.010369
2025-03-23 0.079660 0.132909 0.238121 0.499070 1.314269 5.083395 67.079742
2025-03-30 0.072427 0.122754 0.224684 0.487104 1.360642 5.950712 128.262143
2025-04-06 0.067816 0.117048 0.219686 0.495917 1.489887 7.662647 380.220386
2025-04-13 0.062750 0.109780 0.209983 0.488960 1.556298 9.185044 1226.010707
2025-04-20 0.059343 0.105580 0.206804 0.501047 1.721045 12.351163 20729.838214
2025-04-27 0.056717 0.102692 0.206260 0.521579 1.951398 17.821886 NaN
2025-05-04 0.053992 0.099256 0.203810 0.535569 2.170101 25.438913 NaN
2025-05-11 0.051706 0.096498 0.202583 0.553668 2.441805 38.512796 NaN
2025-05-18 0.049301 0.093198 0.199414 0.564078 2.686869 57.454117 NaN
2025-05-25 0.046902 0.089652 0.195042 0.568801 2.907717 85.223297 NaN
2025-06-01 0.044433 0.085699 0.188987 0.565226 3.068685 121.698845 NaN
2025-06-08 0.041841 0.081225 0.180894 0.551129 3.130549 159.773340 NaN
2025-06-15 0.040588 0.079780 0.181098 0.572178 3.561609 329.912288 NaN
2025-06-22 0.038382 0.075862 0.173681 0.557861 3.624129 466.752423 NaN
2025-06-29 0.037049 0.073942 0.171848 0.568404 3.992546 1060.660486 NaN